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  • Man made magafauna extinct

    Were Humans Responsible for Killing Off the Wooly Mammoth?

    August 18, 2015By Evan Andrews

    Human intervention has played a major role in many of the world’s more recent animal extinctions, but according to a new study, our Ice Age ancestors may have been responsible for the disappearance of prehistoric “megafauna” such as the wooly mammoth and the saber-toothed tiger. By using innovative statistical analysis to trace migrations and extinction rates, a team of researchers has found that Earth’s ancient giant mammals tended to die out shortly after humans moved into their neighborhood.
    For decades now, scientists have debated why prehistoric behemoths such as the wooly mammoth, the wooly rhino, the saber-toothed tiger and the giant armadillo all went extinct between 80,000 and 10,000 years ago. Climate change, species-wide disease outbreaks and even a massive asteroid impact have been put forward as possible causes of their disappearance, but new evidence places the majority of the blame on a single source: mankind.
    As part of a study recently published in the journal Ecography, scholars from the universities of Exeter and Cambridge conducted an exhaustive statistical analysis that cross-referenced ancient climate and human migration data with the suspected extinction dates for different species of “megafauna”—the collective name for the massive mammals that once roamed the planet. The results showed that while climate spikes certainly played a part in the disappearance of creatures like the wooly mammoth, they weren’t completely wiped out until humans invaded their turf.
    Early humans painting pictures of a mammoth.
    “As far as we are concerned, this research is the nail in the coffin of this 50-year debate—humans were the dominant cause of the extinction of megafauna,” lead author Lewis J. Bartlett said in a University of Exeter press release. “What we don’t know is what it was about these early settlers that caused this demise. Were they killing them for food, was it early use of fire or were they driven out of their habitats? Our analysis doesn’t differentiate, but we can say that it was caused by human activity more than by climate change. It debunks the myth of early humans living in harmony with nature.”
    Researchers have long struggled to explain the peculiar circumstances of the megafauna die-off that took place during the late-Pleistocene and early Holocene epochs—an event known as the Quaternary extinction. While many of the planet’s large terrestrial creatures vanished in the span of just 70,000 years—a blink of an eye in geological terms—the disappearances occurred at different periods on each continent. Even stranger, similar mass extinctions didn’t take place among smaller animals or marine life.
    In recent years, debate over what caused the mysterious cull has largely centered on human intervention and climate change. Proponents of the climate theory argue that rapid temperature spikes drove the animals to extinction by transforming their habitat and reducing their food supply. Other scientists point the finger at Ice Age-era humans, who may have outcompeted the animals for resources or killed them off by hunting—an idea known as the “overkill hypothesis.” It’s widely accepted that early human colonists drove the massive moa birds of New Zealand into extinction, and anthropologists have discovered the remains of more than a dozen North American mastodons and mammoths that appear to have been killed by prehistoric hunter-gatherers.
    Human Hunters approaching a mammoth. (Credit: Getty Images)
    The researchers in the new study used fossil records, literature reviews and high-resolution climate reconstructions to get a clearer picture of how climate and human colonization may have figured in megafaunal extinction. To account for discrepancies in the dating, the team used computer modeling to repeat the analysis over a range of 1,000 different “extinction scenarios.” The findings showed that extinctions followed a pattern that closely matched human migration across the globe, which suggests that mankind may have had a central role in the creatures’ demise. Climate change also played a part, but according to the researchers, its impact was less pronounced and unfolded over a significantly longer time period.
    The models also indicate that human impact on extinction rates varied from place to place. In small and isolated habitats like islands, megafaunal die-offs tended to peak at around 8,000 years after humans arrived. On continents, the process took much longer, anywhere from 10,000 to 12,000 years. The researchers say their simulations proved least reliable for continental Asia, where neither human nor climate factors appear to have caused large-scale extinctions. “Whilst our models explain very well the timing and extent of extinctions for most of the world, mainland Asia remains a mystery,” said Cambridge University’s Dr. Andrea Manica. “According to the fossil record, that region suffered very low rates of extinctions. Understanding why megafauna in mainland Asia is so resilient is the next big question.”
    The new study is only the latest chapter in the ongoing debate over megafaunal mass extinction. Just last month, researchers from the universities of Adelaide and New South Wales in Australia published a paper in the journal Science that found completely different results about the role humans and climate change played in the die-offs.
    That study compared ancient DNA and radiocarbon data against geologic records of late-Pleistocene climate and concluded that rapidly warming temperatures—not humans—were the driving force in wiping out the wooly mammoth and its supersized brethren.

    Last edited by hudson; 08-20-2015, 08:29 PM.
    east Tx.

  • #2
    Good read. Something to think about, the old idea of humans did it. I guess I feel like I need more convincing, despite how convinced the authors are. Don't know enough to know which way to lean on this one. Thanks for posting.
    Rhode Island

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    • #3
      Post hoc non propter hoc.

      Just because two things happen around the same time does not mean that one caused the other. There was a wino in New York city who smashed a wine bottle against a telephone pole at the exact moment the great blackout in the northeast happened. He stumbled into a police station crying, confessing that it was all his fault.

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      • #4
        1. Megafauna thrive
        2. Humans arrive
        3. Megafauna die off
        4. Therefore humans have something to do with die off

        Concluding that 2 caused 3 is the leap. Seeing that pattern whenever and wherever humans arrive in a new area seems to be the reason the leap was made. They chose to not conclude the pattern was coincidental. But Asia, a rather sizable % of the planet's land mass, didn't cooperate with the pattern. I should think that's a problem undermining the logic.

        If, every time a wino smashed a bottle on a pole, the power failed city wide, regardless of which city, then we can at least hypothesize that winos can cause power failures in that fashion. It might not be coincidental. But if, at the same time, winos in Asia could not knock the power off no matter how many poles they whacked, logic might say there's something special about Asian telephone poles, rather then undermine the notion that winos can cause power failures that way. In like fashion, these scientists would prefer to assume their theory is right, and conclude there is something different or special about Asia. Others may instead conclude the evidence from Asia means we cannot rule out the possibility that 3 is coincidental in relation to 2. Just two events happening more or less at the same time with no incontrovertible evidence that 2 caused 3.
        Last edited by CMD; 08-21-2015, 07:49 AM.
        Rhode Island

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        • #5
          Originally posted by CMD View Post
          Good read. Something to think about, the old idea of humans did it. I guess I feel like I need more convincing, despite how convinced the authors are. Don't know enough to know which way to lean on this one. Thanks for posting.
          Im with you there Charlie, im not quite convinced myself. I may also be undereducated on the topic as well.
          My hunch is megafuana species were doomed before humans came into the picture due to enviromental change. Ecosystems are a fragile thing, take out one key species (disease, natural catastrophe, climate change or combination) out of tge equation and you get a domino effect.
          I just dont see small nomadic bands of Paleo hunters having that kind of effect, or even being a contributing factor for that matter. Im sure one mastodon could suffice the needs of many hungry mouths for a considerable time. Plus im sure they supplemented there need for meat with smaller, less dangerous quarry. Just my logic...
          Josh (Ky/Tn collector)

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          • #6
            True confession : I didn't read through the original post (outlining an idea which has been circling the block for years now and its ramifications pretty well explored). So I don't know whether the authors left out one teensy little bit that you don't seem to be considering as relevant enough to bring to the table : a catyclysmic climate change.

            Originally posted by Bob Patten
            The melting of ice sheets 14,600 years ago marked the onset of what is called the Bolling/Allerod climatic phase. When the ice sheet melted, as evidenced by ice cores from Greenland, half of the warming took place in only 15 years. Archaeological evidence from Spain shows a catastrophic environmental impact in Europe at about the same time. Prior to melting, the Canadian ice sheet stood about a mile high from ocean to ocean and blocked the jet stream from pulling frigid arctic weather southward. The resulting climate, though six to eight degrees Fahrenheit cooler than now, caused less severe winters. Without strong seasonal fluctuations, ecological zones of the north intermingled with those of the south, creating conditions for lush, tall grasses on the North American plains and mixed conifers and hardwoods in an open mosaic throughout the Midwest. No comparable ecology exists anywhere on earth today.

            The general drought that accompanied the Allerod phase was eased from 13,360 to 13,100 years ago by the Intra Allerod cold period, although the Terminal Allerod brought even greater drying with the "Clovis Drought" at 13,000 years ago. Following that, a catastrophic temperature drop, cold enough to freeze remaining surface water introduced the Younger Dryas phase. No mammoth or Clovis remains date later than this freeze. For the next 800 years, increased moisture and continued cold dominated the climate experienced by people using fluting traditions.

            Simply relating the chronology of a succession of glacial advances fails to impress the true scope and magnitude of ice ages on the earth's inhabitants. Some scattered examples may help us better appreciate the impact.

            Between 15,000 and 10,000 years ago, sea levels around the world rose by 50 meters, then by another 40 meters by 5,000 years ago to reach near present-day levels. Not all the released water went directly into the ocean. Much of present-day Nevada was covered by Lake Lahontan, which encompassed 21.000 square kilometers of the Great Basin, before its level fell near 14,600 years ago due to evaporation. Lake Bonneville covered 50,000 square kilometers including the present Great Salt Lake to a depth of 300 meters before it found an outlet at 14,500 years ago. Down cutting opened a channel sufficient to provide a flood volume six times as large as the maximum flow of the Mississippi river, leaving Uah's present Great Salt Lake as its last remnant.

            Impressive as these amounts sound, they pale beside several lakes that formed by natural dams along the southern ice fronts. Lake Columbia and Lake Missoula were created before 17,000 years ago by ice dams that periodically floated free to cause great floods across Montana, Idaho and Oregon. These huge glacial outbursts, known as jukulhaups, occurred over forty times until the cycle broke, 14,800 years ago. The collective outflow of nearly 300 cubic miles, roughly six times the volume of modern Lake Ontario, scoured the land each time in less than two weeks, with flood depths of 800 feet.

            Starting about 14,000 years ago and lasting 4,500 years, Lake Agassiz and Lake McConnel covered 350,000 square kilometers of southern Canadian landscape with a volume of water over twice that of the current Great Lakes. The first outflow fed the Mississippi river but subsequent drainage flowed through the St. Lawrence Valley and lastly into the Hudson Bay. Those shifts spread fish species over vast areas of currently unconnected drainage. The final outburst happened as recently as 8,200 years ago and sent so much fresh water into the Atlantic that temperatures in Europe and Greenland dropped for about 200 years . . .
            (Posted excerpt from Peoples of the Flute)

            He wants proof ? Comin' right up, boss. With a smile

            At the end of the Pleistocene period, approximately 12,800 years ago—give or take a few centuries—a cosmic impact triggered an abrupt cooling episode that Earth scientists refer to as the Younger Dryas.

            New research by UC Santa Barbara geologist James Kennett and an international group of investigators has narrowed the date to a 100-year range, sometime between 12,835 and 12,735 years ago. The researchers used Bayesian statistical analyses of 354 dates taken from 30 sites on more than four continents. By using Bayesian analysis, the researchers were able to calculate more robust age models through multiple, progressive statistical iterations that consider all related age data.

            “This range overlaps with that of a platinum peak recorded in the Greenland ice sheet and of the onset of the Younger Dryas climate episode in six independent key records,” says Kennett. “This suggests a causal connection between the impact event and the Younger Dryas cooling.”


            I.e., in geological time, the change was instantaneous.

            Funny thing, too -- evidence of people immediately afterward gets very, very scarce. Check out the huge dropoff in the point type census of Redstone, Beaver Lake & Quad relative to earlier fluted points (generic "Clovis").

            FWIW


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            • #7
              Younger Dryas I agree did do in Clovis and most beasties in this time zone, remaining Clovis turned into Folsom here Western Rocky mountain area, where believed by some survivors of said Dryas repopulated and changed. Point types of NM Co Utah Nevada all show amazing numbers after dryas.

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